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The Swiss stock market remained in the red as investors reacted to the US's announcement of a 25% tariff on imported cars, signaling a potential escalation in the global trade war. Major indices in Europe and Asia followed suit, with significant declines in automotive stocks. The SMI was down 1.27%, with only six of the thirty leading stocks showing gains, including Sandoz and Novartis.
With low interest rates likely to persist, the stock market is poised for growth as companies can borrow cheaply to invest. However, geopolitical tensions and uncertainties may lead to volatility in 2025, making high-dividend stocks a safer investment choice for stable returns. The Swiss equity market, known for its defensive nature, features companies like Nestlé and Roche that offer attractive dividends, providing a buffer against market fluctuations.
Nestlé S.A., the world's leading food group, reports its sales breakdown by product family: powdered and liquid beverages (26.9%), pet food (20.7%), pharmaceutical and nutrition products (16.6%), prepared dishes and seasonings (11.7%), dairy and ice creams (11.4%), chocolates and cookies (9.2%), and packaged waters (3.5%). Geographically, sales are concentrated in the United States and Canada (35.2%), followed by China (5.9%), Brazil (4.4%), and several European countries, with Switzerland at 1.2% and the UK at 4%.
UBS maintains a neutral stance on Nestlé, keeping its price target at 80 Swiss francs. The firm anticipates a 2.4% organic growth in Q1, primarily driven by a 1.7% increase in prices, while currency fluctuations are expected to reduce EPS by 2% for FY 2025-2026. Nestlé has reaffirmed its 2025 guidance, projecting improved organic sales growth and a UTOP margin of 16% or more due to growth investments.
UBS has maintained a "Neutral" rating for Nestlé SA, setting a target price of 80 francs ahead of the first quarter results. Analyst Guillaume Delmas has increased the organic growth estimate for the food group, although it remains below consensus expectations. The company’s shares are currently priced at 93.42 EUR, reflecting a decline of 0.64%.
UBS has rated Nestlé as a "hold," indicating a neutral stance on the stock's performance. Investors can access insights and updates on financial products and services from TM Börsenverlag AG and its affiliate, boerse.de Vermögensverwaltung GmbH, with an option to revoke consent at any time.
Swiss pharmaceutical giants Roche and Novartis have abandoned their diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) targets in the USA, following new political guidelines from the Trump administration that label such measures as "illegal and wasteful." Roche has informed its global workforce that DEI targets will no longer be publicly communicated, while UBS has removed DEI references from its reports. Other Swiss firms like ABB and Nestlé are currently maintaining a low profile but may adjust their policies based on local conditions.
Amadeus Fire's cautious outlook impacted cyclically sensitive stocks, with Givaudan, Sika, and Holcim among the notable decliners. The US stock market saw declines, particularly in Nike and FedEx, amid economic concerns and a major futures expiry day. Oil prices remained stable, with Brent slightly down and WTI up, as geopolitical tensions continue to influence the market.
UBS is contemplating relocating its headquarters from Switzerland if capital demands are not eased, potentially requiring an increase of around $25 billion. The bank's management argues that a rise in the core capital ratio from 14% to 20% would hinder its competitiveness against foreign banks. UBS views the proposed stricter capital requirements as detrimental, prompting discussions of moving abroad if these regulations are enforced.
The Swiss stock market remained positive following the Swiss National Bank's decision to cut its key interest rate by 25 basis points to 0.25%. Analysts expect this to be the last cut for the year, with inflation forecasts suggesting no need for further reductions. The SMI index rose by 0.11%, led by Nestlé, while Swissquote shares fell by 7.7% despite reporting a strong fiscal performance.
Nestlé S.A.
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